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Italy U19 vs Scotland U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Giardino C.
48' Event
Adamson C.
63'
Mantini M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Italy U19
15%
Draws
37%
Scotland U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U19 lately — more wins on the board than Scotland U19.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Italy U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Scotland U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Scotland U19
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 20 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Scotland U19
3:0
Oct 13, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Scotland U19
1:0
Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Scotland U19
1:1
Mar 20, 2024 Euro U19
Scotland U19 vs Italy U19
1:3
Mar 28, 2015 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Scotland U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Giardino C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Scotland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamson C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 85 / 100
Scotland U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Scotland U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U19 scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

Defensive concern: Scotland U19 conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Italy U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 VS Scotland U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U19

(Home)
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
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Scotland U19

(Away)
30 Sept
Scotland U19
0 : 2
Ukraine U19
27 Sept
Scotland U19
0 : 5
Czech Republic U19
24 Sept
Scotland U19
3 : 1
Finland U19
31 Mar
Scotland U19
3 : 0
Poland U19
28 Mar
Ireland U19
3 : 3
Scotland U19
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