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Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Ventriglia R.

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Italy U19 W
20%
Draws
56%
Denmark U19 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denmark U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Denmark U19 W lately — more wins on the board than Italy U19 W.
  • Win probability leans Denmark U19 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 14%
Denmark U19 W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 W Denmark U19 W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
1:3
Oct 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
2:2
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
3:1
Feb 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ventriglia R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Denmark U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 W 10 / 100
Denmark U19 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 W Denmark U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Italy U19 W scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Denmark U19 W has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Italy U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 W VS Denmark U19 W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U19 W

(Home)
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
14 Apr
Italy U19 W
1 : 5
Netherlands U19 W
11 Apr
Italy U19 W
2 : 0
Ukraine U19 W
07 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 0
Poland U19 W
06 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 1
Germany U19 W
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Denmark U19 W

(Away)
07 Oct
England U19 W
1 : 5
Denmark U19 W
06 Jun
Wales U19 W
1 : 5
Denmark U19 W
15 Apr
Finland U19 W
1 : 2
Denmark U19 W
12 Apr
Denmark U19 W
2 : 3
Iceland U19 W
09 Apr
Denmark U19 W
1 : 0
Serbia U19 W
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