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Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Holt Luplau E.
65' Event
Pellegrino C. G.
72' Event
Zamboni M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Italy U19 W
11%
Draws
80%
Denmark U19 W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Denmark U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Denmark U19 W have won more games recently than Italy U19 W.
  • Denmark U19 W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 16%
Denmark U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 W Denmark U19 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
1:3
Oct 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
1:0
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
2:2
Oct 29, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
3:1
Feb 21, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Denmark U19 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino C. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamboni M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Denmark U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holt Luplau E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wendicke M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 W 11 / 100
Denmark U19 W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 W Denmark U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Italy U19 W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Denmark U19 W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Italy U19 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 W VS Denmark U19 W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%