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Italy U19 W vs Northern Ireland U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 W play Northern Ireland U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U19 W averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1 conceded. Northern Ireland U19 W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U19 W won 5, Northern Ireland U19 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2025 ended 10:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.65 for Italy U19 W and 1.06 for Northern Ireland U19 W. This points to a Italy U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Italy U19 W
17%
Draws
34%
Northern Ireland U19 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Italy U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Italy U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Northern Ireland U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.65 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 22%
Northern Ireland U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 W Northern Ireland U19 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.81 1.6
Goals Conceded 1 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Northern Ireland U19 W
10:1
Oct 28, 2023 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Northern Ireland U19 W
3:0
Apr 10, 2016 Euro U19 Women
Northern Ireland U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:3
Sep 21, 2009 Euro U19 Women
Northern Ireland U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:6
Sep 27, 2007 Euro U19 Women
Italy U19 W vs Northern Ireland U19 W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pellegrino C. G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Donolato V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Northern Ireland U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 W 49 / 100
Northern Ireland U19 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 W Northern Ireland U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U19 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U19 W attacking → ← attacking Northern Ireland U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U19 W scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Northern Ireland U19 W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Italy U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland U19 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 38
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.29

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U19 W33007:09
2Italy U19 W32015:36
3Hungary U19 W30122:41
4Northern Ireland U19 W30121:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U19 W33009:19
2Czech Republic U19 W32015:16
3Greece U19 W31023:43
4Wales U19 W30031:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria U19 W33009:19
2Denmark U19 W311110:34
3Poland U19 W31116:54
4Montenegro U19 W30030:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U19 W321012:27
2Finland U19 W32105:17
3Norway U19 W31028:53
4Israel U19 W30031:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19 W330016:19
2Sweden U19 W32013:36
3Portugal U19 W31028:103
4Turkey U19 W30030:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U19 W330015:19
2Belgium U19 W32019:36
3Ireland U19 W31024:63
4Faroe Islands U19 W30030:180
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Serbia U19 W33006:09
2Iceland U19 W31117:54
3Belarus U19 W31113:44
4Scotland U19 W30033:100