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Italy U20 vs Cuba U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
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Match Events

14' Event
Natali A.
19'
Mosconi M.
31' Event
Iddrissou J.
Assist: Cama C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Italy U20
20%
Draws
40%
Cuba U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cuba U20 haven't matched Italy U20's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Italy U20 taking it.
  • Italy U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Cuba U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 Cuba U20
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.45 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 World Cup U20
Italy U20 vs Cuba U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Natali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iddrissou J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cuba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 50 / 100
Cuba U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 Cuba U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Italy U20 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Cuba U20 conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

Cuba U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 VS Cuba U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20

(Home)
03 Oct
France U20
0 : 3
Italy U20
29 Sept
Germany U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
25 Sept
Italy U20
1 : 3
England U20
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
Page 1 of 6

Cuba U20

(Away)
01 Aug
USA U20
5 : 0
Cuba U20
28 Jul
Haiti U20
3 : 2
Cuba U20
25 Jul
Cuba U20
3 : 0
El Salvador U20
10 Jul
Panama U20
7 : 2
Cuba U20
07 Jul
Panama U20
0 : 0
Cuba U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Chile U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Egypt U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Paraguay U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 South Korea U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Mexico U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Spain U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Brazil U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Italy U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Australia U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Cuba U20 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 France U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
4 New Caledonia U20 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Norway U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams