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Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Casadei C. In: Fabbian G.
Out: Casadei C.
30'
Sub
Fiumano F. In: Fontanarosa A.
Out: Fiumano F.
36' Event
Montevago D.

AI Match Summary

Italy U20 in this Friendly International 2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Italy U20
15%
Draws
51%
Switzerland U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Switzerland U20 haven't matched Italy U20's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Italy U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Switzerland U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 Switzerland U20
Matches Played 31 24
Wins 16 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.58 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20
3:0
Nov 16, 2020 Friendly International
Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20
0:0
Nov 18, 2019 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20
4:2
Mar 25, 2019 Elite League U20
Switzerland U20 vs Italy U20
3:0
Mar 27, 2018 Elite League U20
Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Montevago D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabbian G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Switzerland U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 34 / 100
Switzerland U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 Switzerland U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Switzerland U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Switzerland U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Italy U20 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Difficult form: Switzerland U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 VS Switzerland U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20

(Home)
03 Oct
France U20
0 : 3
Italy U20
29 Sept
Germany U20
3 : 0
Italy U20
25 Sept
Italy U20
1 : 3
England U20
27 Mar
Italy U20
3 : 3
England U20
17 Nov
Germany U20
5 : 0
Italy U20
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Switzerland U20

(Away)
29 Sept
Portugal U20
1 : 2
Switzerland U20
26 Sept
Czech Republic U20
5 : 2
Switzerland U20
31 Mar
Switzerland U20
3 : 1
Romania U20
27 Mar
Portugal U20
3 : 0
Switzerland U20
13 Oct
Poland U20
4 : 1
Switzerland U20
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