Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U20 W vs Spain U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 Stadion ŁKS, Lodz
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Cerrato A.
40' Event
Belli E.
Own Goal
55'
Sub
Cherubini M. In: Catena G.
Out: Cherubini M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Italy U20 W
15%
Draws
58%
Spain U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U20 W have won more games recently than Italy U20 W.
  • Spain U20 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spain U20 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Italy U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U20 W Spain U20 W
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 5 23
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.38 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.69 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 World Cup Women U20
Italy U20 W vs Spain U20 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Spain U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Comendador P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U20 W 10 / 100
Spain U20 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U20 W Spain U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U20 W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Italy U20 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Spain U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U20 W VS Spain U20 W
1.63 Goals Scored 3.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U20 W

(Home)
26 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 2
Colombia U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
South Korea U20 W
1 : 3
Italy U20 W
16 Sept
Italy U20 W
2 : 1
China U20 W
12 Sept
Italy U20 W
1 : 1
Japan U20 W
Page 1 of 3

Spain U20 W

(Away)
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
10 Sept
Spain U20 W
11 : 0
New Caledonia U20 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Argentina U20 W 0
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 2
China U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 2
USA U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Portugal U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 0
France U20 W 1
Canada U20 W 3
England U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 3
Poland U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Quarter-finals
South Korea U20 W 1
Italy U20 W 3
Brazil U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 0
Colombia U20 W 1
Semi-finals
Italy U20 W 0
Spain U20 W 2
North Korea U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 0
Final
Spain U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 0
Italy U20 W 1
Colombia U20 W 2