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Italy U21 vs Japan U19

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Bianco A.
7'
Ogura K.
10' Event
Fini S.

AI Match Summary

Italy U21 in this Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Italy U21
15%
Draws
24%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U21 lately — more wins on the board than Japan U19.
  • Italy U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U21 Japan U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 1
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 2.31 1.79
Goals Conceded 1 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.32 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Italy U21 vs Japan U19
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raimondo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fini S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shiogai K.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 85 / 100
Japan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U21 Japan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U21 scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Japan U19 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Italy U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS Japan U19
2.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)
05 Oct
Italy U21
6 : 2
Poland U21
01 Oct
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Italy U21
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0
North Macedonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Japan U19

(Away)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 France U20 4 2 0 2 7:4 7
3 Mexico U23 4 3 0 1 6:8 7
4 Saudi Arabia U23 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 South Korea U21 4 0 0 4 1:5 1
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U23 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Italy U21 4 3 0 1 7:9 8
3 Japan U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Panama U23 4 1 0 3 6:5 4
5 Egypt U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Japan U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Panama U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Indonesia U20 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)