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Italy U21 vs Morocco U21

World World

Friendly International 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Parigini V.
38' Event
Cutrone P.
65' Event
Bonazzoli F.

AI Match Summary

Italy U21 in this Friendly International 2017 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Italy U21
30%
Draws
14%
Morocco U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Morocco U21 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Italy U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Morocco U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U21 Morocco U21
Matches Played 32 12
Wins 20 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.34 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2017 Friendly International
Italy U21 vs Morocco U21
4:0
Jun 27, 2005 Mediterranean Games
Italy U21 vs Morocco U21
0:0
Sep 8, 2001 Mediterranean Games
Italy U21 vs Morocco U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Parigini V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cutrone P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Morocco U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 95 / 100
Morocco U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U21 Morocco U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Italy U21 scored in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Morocco U21 let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Italy U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0
North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
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Morocco U21

(Away)
29 Mar
Morocco U21
2 : 2
Romania U21
10 Oct
Italy U21
4 : 0
Morocco U21
28 May
France U21
2 : 2
Morocco U21
26 May
Belarus U21
0 : 0
Morocco U21
24 May
Morocco U21
3 : 4
Mexico U21
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