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Italy U21 vs Panama U23

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Mon, Jun 10, 2024
3 - 2
04:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Phillips R.
26' Event
Alvarado J.
Assist: Lenis K.
33'
Phillips R.

AI Match Summary

The Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 game between Italy U21 and Panama U23 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Italy U21
15%
Draws
17%
Panama U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Panama U23 haven't matched Italy U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Italy U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Italy U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Panama U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U21 Panama U23
Matches Played 28 22
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 2
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Italy U21 vs Panama U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndour C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Panama U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 85 / 100
Panama U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U21 Panama U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U21 scored in 96% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Panama U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 22 matches.

Italy U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Italy U21
1 : 0
Albania U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
26 Mar
Italy U21
4 : 0
North Macedonia U21
18 Nov
Montenegro U21
1 : 4
Italy U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
Page 1 of 6

Panama U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Mexico U23
2 : 1
Panama U23
06 Sept
Mexico U23
4 : 1
Panama U23
14 Jun
Saudi Arabia U23
1 : 2
Panama U23
12 Jun
Japan U19
1 : 0
Panama U23
10 Jun
Italy U21
3 : 2
Panama U23
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 France U20 4 2 0 2 7:4 7
3 Mexico U23 4 3 0 1 6:8 7
4 Saudi Arabia U23 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 South Korea U21 4 0 0 4 1:5 1
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U23 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Italy U21 4 3 0 1 7:9 8
3 Japan U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Panama U23 4 1 0 3 6:5 4
5 Egypt U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Japan U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Panama U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Indonesia U20 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)