Sport Picks

Italy U21 vs Poland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Euro U21 Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia, Pescara

Italy U21

6 - 2

Poland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Koleosho L.

26'

Ndour C.

Assist: Liberali M.

46'

Sub

Bak D. In: Mikolajewski D.

Out: Bak D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Italy U21 and Poland U21 finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Italy U21

15%

Draws

38%

Poland U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Italy U21 come out ahead of Poland U21 on wins alone.
Model gives Italy U21 a 47% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Italy U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Poland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy U21	Poland U21
Matches Played	39	33
Wins	26	19
Draws	8	5
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	2.31	2.18
Goals Conceded	0.87	1.3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Poland U21

6:2

Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Italy U21

2:1

Jun 19, 2019 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Poland U21

0:1

Mar 23, 2017 Friendly International

Poland U21 vs Italy U21

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndour C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Koleosho L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikolajewski D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zewlakow J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 95 / 100

Poland U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy U21 Poland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 8:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U21 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (39 games).

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Italy U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Poland U21 let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS Poland U21

2.88 Goals Scored 2.88

1 Goals Conceded 0.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)

05 Oct

Italy U21

6 : 2

Poland U21

01 Oct

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Italy U21

08 Jun

Italy U21

1 : 0

Albania U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

26 Mar

Italy U21

4 : 0

North Macedonia U21

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Poland U21

(Away)

05 Oct

Italy U21

6 : 2

Poland U21

30 Sept

Poland U21

3 : 0

Sweden U21

31 Mar

Montenegro U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

27 Mar

Poland U21

4 : 1

Armenia U21

18 Nov

North Macedonia U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

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