Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena

Italy U21

4 - 0

Sweden U21

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Pisilli N.

40'

Camarda F.

(Penalty)

45'

Pisilli N.

Assist: Palestra M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Italy U21 and Sweden U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Italy U21

Draws

Sweden U21

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Italy U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Italy U21's way, sitting at 90%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Italy U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Italy U21	Sweden U21
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	18	12
Draws	7	6
Losses	4	12
Goals Scored	2.13	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Italy U21

0:4

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Sweden U21

4:0

Jun 9, 2022 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Italy U21

1:1

Oct 12, 2021 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Sweden U21

1:1

Nov 18, 2020 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Sweden U21

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pisilli N.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U21 85 / 100

Sweden U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Italy U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U21 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Sweden U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Italy U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Italy U21 VS Sweden U21

2.13 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U21

(Home)

08 Jun

Italy U21

1 : 0

Albania U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

26 Mar

Italy U21

4 : 0

North Macedonia U21

18 Nov

Montenegro U21

1 : 4

Italy U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

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Sweden U21

(Away)

04 Jun

Sweden U21

1 : 3

Finland U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

27 Mar

Sweden U21

2 : 2

Montenegro U21

18 Nov

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Sweden U21

13 Nov

North Macedonia U21

1 : 4

Sweden U21

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