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Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Centro Tecnico Federale, Coverciano
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Visentin N.
48' Event
Dhont E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Italy U23 W and Belgium U23 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Italy U23 W
15%
Draws
0%
Belgium U23 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Italy U23 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Italy U23 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U23 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 20%
Belgium U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U23 W Belgium U23 W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.21 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Friendly International Women
Belgium U23 W vs Italy U23 W
1:2
Dec 1, 2025 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:0
Nov 28, 2024 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
1:1
Nov 30, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
2:1
Oct 10, 2022 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs Belgium U23 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Visentin N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Belgium U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhont E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U23 W 85 / 100
Belgium U23 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U23 W Belgium U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U23 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Belgium U23 W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Belgium U23 W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Italy U23 W scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Italy U23 W VS Belgium U23 W
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Belgium U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
16 Apr
Germany U23 W
1 : 0
Italy U23 W
12 Apr
Portugal U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
02 Mar
Portugal U23 W
1 : 3
Italy U23 W
01 Dec
Italy U23 W
1 : 0
Belgium U23 W
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Belgium U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Belgium U23 W
1 : 2
Italy U23 W
16 Apr
Belgium U23 W
0 : 1
Portugal U23 W
12 Apr
Germany U23 W
2 : 1
Belgium U23 W
06 Mar
Germany U23 W
4 : 2
Belgium U23 W
02 Mar
Belgium U23 W
1 : 3
Sweden U23 W
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