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Italy U23 W vs USA U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
77' Event

AI Match Summary

Italy U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Italy U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Italy U23 W
39%
Draws
30%
USA U23 W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U23 W average 2.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Italy U23 W's 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Italy U23 W Clean Sheet 12%
USA U23 W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U23 W USA U23 W
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2019 Friendly International Women
Italy U23 W vs USA U23 W
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U23 W 30 / 100
USA U23 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U23 W USA U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U23 W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

USA U23 W has conceded goals in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Italy U23 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy U23 W VS USA U23 W
1 Goals Scored 2.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 29%