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Italy W vs Belarus W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup Women. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Italy W have averaged 1.54 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Belarus W's 1.76 scored and 0.69 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.50) point toward Belarus W. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Italy W
30%
Draws
35%
Belarus W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Italy W haven't matched Belarus W's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Italy W taking it.
  • Belarus W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Italy W Clean Sheet 16%
Belarus W Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy W Belarus W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.54 1.76
Goals Conceded 1 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy W 41 / 100
Belarus W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy W Belarus W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Italy W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Belarus W let in goals in 24% of their last 29 matches.

Belarus W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy W VS Belarus W
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
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Belarus W

(Away)
09 Jun
Belarus W
6 : 0
Armenia W
18 Apr
Belarus W
0 : 1
Kazakhstan W
14 Apr
Armenia W
0 : 3
Belarus W
07 Mar
Kazakhstan W
0 : 1
Belarus W
29 Nov
Greece W
2 : 0
Belarus W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -