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Italy W vs Denmark W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Italy W Logo

Italy W

1 - 1
FT
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Caruso A.
19' Event
Piemonte M.
Assist: Giugliano M.
49' Event
Harder P.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Italy W
35%
Draws
36%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Denmark W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Denmark W have won more games recently than Italy W.
  • Win probability leans Italy W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Denmark W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Denmark W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Italy W Clean Sheet 68%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy W Denmark W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 10 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Denmark W vs Italy W
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Italy W vs Denmark W
1:1
Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Denmark W vs Italy W
0:3
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Italy W vs Denmark W
1:3
Feb 16, 2022 Algarve Cup Women
Denmark W vs Italy W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy W Compare

Top Goalscorer Piemonte M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Holdt O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy W 68 / 100
Denmark W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Italy W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Denmark W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Italy W VS Denmark W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)