Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy W vs Sweden W

World World

World Cup Women Stadio Oreste Granillo
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Angeldal F.
Assist: Schroder F.
48'
Di Guglielmo L.
51'
Cambiaghi M.

AI Match Summary

Italy W host Sweden W in the World Cup Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sweden W have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Italy W have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Italy W have won 0 to Sweden W's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.13, favoring Sweden W. Sweden W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Italy W
6%
Draws
4%
Sweden W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Italy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sweden W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Italy W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Italy W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in World Cup Women provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Italy W Clean Sheet 68%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy W Sweden W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Sweden W vs Italy W
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Italy W vs Sweden W
0:1
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Italy W vs Sweden W
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Italy W
3:2
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Italy W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Angeldal F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy W 95 / 100
Sweden W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy W Sweden W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy W scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sweden W let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Italy W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sweden W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Italy W VS Sweden W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark W642012:514
2Italy W623112:49
3Sweden W62226:68
4Serbia W60152:171
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France W641111:513
2Netherlands W632112:911
3Ireland W63039:99
4Poland W60156:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain W650121:315
2England W650113:515
3Iceland W62043:126
4Ukraine W60062:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany W651018:116
2Norway W640211:912
3Austria W61143:94
4Slovenia W61053:163