Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy W vs Sweden W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma
Italy W Logo

Italy W

0 - 0
FT
Sweden W Logo

Sweden W

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Di Guglielmo L.
37'
Eriksson M.
39'
Bjorn N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Italy W
35%
Draws
23%
Sweden W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Italy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sweden W lately — more wins on the board than Italy W.
  • Italy W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Italy W Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy W Sweden W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Sweden W vs Italy W
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Italy W vs Sweden W
0:1
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Italy W vs Sweden W
0:0
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Italy W
3:2
Oct 31, 2023 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Italy W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy W 85 / 100
Sweden W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy W Sweden W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Italy W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sweden W conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Italy W VS Sweden W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

Sweden W

(Away)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)