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Itapipoca U20 vs Caucaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Gomes H.
90' Event
Kaliel

AI Match Summary

Caucaia U20 in this Cearense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caucaia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Itapipoca U20
20%
Draws
64%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caucaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Itapipoca U20 haven't matched Caucaia U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Itapipoca U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Caucaia U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Itapipoca U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Caucaia U20
0:2
Jul 9, 2024 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Itapipoca U20
1:0
Jul 3, 2024 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Caucaia U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Caucaia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaliel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca U20 46 / 100
Caucaia U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caucaia U20 conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Caucaia U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Itapipoca U20 scored in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca U20 VS Caucaia U20
0.2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Itapipoca U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
22 Aug
Itapipoca U20
0 : 3
Floresta EC U20
09 Aug
Ferroviario U20
2 : 0
Itapipoca U20
25 Jul
Itapipoca U20
1 : 2
Ceara U20
29 Jun
Itapipoca U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
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Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)