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Itapipoca U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Alan B.
85' Event
Kaiky
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2024 game between Itapipoca U20 and Fortaleza U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Itapipoca U20
20%
Draws
70%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fortaleza U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Itapipoca U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 16 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.44 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:2
Jun 21, 2024 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Itapipoca U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca U20 16 / 100
Fortaleza U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza U20 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Itapipoca U20 scored in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Solid form: Itapipoca U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fortaleza U20
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Itapipoca U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
22 Aug
Itapipoca U20
0 : 3
Floresta EC U20
09 Aug
Ferroviario U20
2 : 0
Itapipoca U20
25 Jul
Itapipoca U20
1 : 2
Ceara U20
29 Jun
Itapipoca U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Page 1 of 4

Fortaleza U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acopiara U20 8 6 2 0 20:3 20
2 Iguatu U20 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Icasa U20 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
4 Crato U20 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
5 Cariri FC U20 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus CE U20 8 7 0 1 17:7 21
2 Santa Cruz CE U20 8 5 0 3 16:6 15
3 Sao Gerardo U20 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
4 CA Cearense U20 8 1 2 5 8:12 5
5 Alvinegro U20 8 0 2 6 6:29 2
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:9 19
2 Tirol U20 8 6 0 2 15:8 18
3 Atletico Cearense U20 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
4 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
5 Tiradentes U20 8 0 3 5 6:21 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 8 7 1 0 36:6 22
2 Ferroviario U20 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
3 Itapipoca U20 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Caucaia U20 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
5 Terra e Mar U20 8 0 1 7 1:34 1
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horizonte U20 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
2 Floresta EC U20 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
3 Pacatuba U20 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Itarema U20 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams