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Itapipoca vs Atletico Cearense

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Adao
50' Event
Tadeu

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 game between Itapipoca and Atletico Cearense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Itapipoca
22%
Draws
18%
Atletico Cearense
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Itapipoca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Itapipoca taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Cearense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Atletico Cearense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Atletico Cearense
2:0
Oct 27, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
2:0
Mar 20, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Atletico Cearense
3:0
Mar 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Atletico Cearense vs Itapipoca
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Adao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tadeu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Cearense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 68 / 100
Atletico Cearense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Atletico Cearense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Cearense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Itapipoca scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Itapipoca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Atletico Cearense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Icasa851214:716
2Crato84318:515
3Cariri FC82246:78
4Barbalha82244:88
5Guarani de Juazeiro82246:118
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itapipoca850311:1015
2Crateus841310:413
3Guarany SC841312:813
4Caucaia83239:1411
5Atletico Cearense80446:124