Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itapipoca vs Caucaia

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ailton
64'
Maranguape L.

AI Match Summary

Caucaia in this Cearense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caucaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
23%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Itapipoca lately — more wins on the board than Caucaia.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Itapipoca taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Caucaia
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Caucaia
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Itapipoca
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Itapipoca
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Caucaia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Caucaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ailton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 86 / 100
Caucaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Caucaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Itapipoca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Caucaia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
2 Crato 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
3 Cariri FC 8 2 2 4 6:7 8
4 Barbalha 8 2 2 4 4:8 8
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 2 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 5 0 3 11:10 15
2 Crateus 8 4 1 3 10:4 13
3 Guarany SC 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Caucaia 8 3 2 3 9:14 11
5 Atletico Cearense 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 2 (Relegation)