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Itapipoca vs Caucaia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Stenio
29' Event
Breno
49' Event
Elanardo

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Itapipoca and Caucaia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
23%
Caucaia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Caucaia haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Itapipoca taking it.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Caucaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Caucaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.57 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Caucaia
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Itapipoca
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Cearense 2
Caucaia vs Itapipoca
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Caucaia
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Breno
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Caucaia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 86 / 100
Caucaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Caucaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Caucaia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Itapipoca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Caucaia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 6

Caucaia

(Away)
17 May
Caucaia
1 : 2
Guarani de Juazeiro
13 May
Caucaia
1 : 1
Atletico Cearense
10 May
Itapipoca
0 : 1
Caucaia
02 May
Caucaia
1 : 4
Guarany SC
18 Apr
Crateus
3 : 0
Caucaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)