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Itapipoca vs Crato - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estadio Perilo Teixeira, Itapipoca
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Matias J.
Own Goal
72' Event
Indio Potiguar

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
33%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Crato haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Itapipoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Crato Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Crato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crato
2:0
May 23, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Itapipoca
2:2
Feb 12, 2014 Cearense
Itapipoca vs Crato
2:0
Jan 12, 2014 Cearense
Crato vs Itapipoca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Indio Potiguar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Crato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 41 / 100
Crato 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Crato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Itapipoca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Crato
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Icasa -
TBD -
Crateus 1
Cariri FC 0
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Crato 3
Guarany SC 1
Semi-finals
Icasa 3
Crateus 0
Itapipoca 4
Crato 2
Final
Icasa 1
Itapipoca 2