Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itapipoca vs Crato

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 Estadio Perilo Teixeira, Itapipoca
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Matias J.
Own Goal
72' Event
Indio Potiguar

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
33%
Crato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Crato haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Itapipoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Crato Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Crato
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Crato
2:0
May 23, 2026 Cearense 2
Crato vs Itapipoca
2:2
Feb 12, 2014 Cearense
Itapipoca vs Crato
2:0
Jan 12, 2014 Cearense
Crato vs Itapipoca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Indio Potiguar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Crato Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 41 / 100
Crato 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Crato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Crato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Itapipoca remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Crato
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
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Crato

(Away)
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
19 May
Crato
3 : 1
Guarany SC
10 May
Crato
1 : 3
Icasa
02 May
Cariri FC
0 : 1
Crato
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Icasa -
TBD -
Crateus 1
Cariri FC 0
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Crato 3
Guarany SC 1
Semi-finals
Icasa 3
Crateus 0
Itapipoca 4
Crato 2
Final
Icasa 1
Itapipoca 2