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Itapipoca vs Maranguape

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Santos de Oliveira E.
61' Event
Aldair
(Penalty)
90' Event
Pedrinho

AI Match Summary

Maranguape in this Cearense 2 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Itapipoca
30%
Draws
33%
Maranguape
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maranguape haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Itapipoca taking it.
  • Itapipoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maranguape, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 20%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Maranguape
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape
0:3
Mar 30, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:2
Mar 6, 2025 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Maranguape
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Itapipoca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos de Oliveira E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedrinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 42 / 100
Maranguape 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Maranguape

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapipoca found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Maranguape has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Itapipoca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Maranguape
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
50% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
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Maranguape

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Itapipoca -
TBD -
Maranguape 1
Guarani de Juazeiro 0
Quixada -
TBD -
Crato 1
Caucaia 0
Semi-finals
Itapipoca 2
Maranguape 4
Quixada 3
Crato 3
Final
Maranguape 2
Quixada 1