Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itapipoca vs Pacajus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Da Silva Rocha C.
55' Event
Gleryston
74' Event
Valter Julio

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2024 game between Itapipoca and Pacajus finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Itapipoca
35%
Draws
18%
Pacajus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itapipoca come out ahead of Pacajus on wins alone.
  • Itapipoca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Pacajus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Pacajus
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Cearense 2
Itapipoca vs Pacajus
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva Rocha C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valter Julio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pacajus Compare

Top Goalscorer Gleryston
1 Goals
Assists Leader Biel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 50 / 100
Pacajus 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Pacajus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itapipoca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Itapipoca scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Pacajus let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Itapipoca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 8

Pacajus

(Away)
31 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 2
Cariri FC
27 Mar
Itapipoca
3 : 2
Pacajus
24 Mar
Icasa
2 : 2
Pacajus
16 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 1
Tirol
10 Mar
Pacajus
1 : 1
Maranguape
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Icasa 8 5 2 1 12:6 17
2 Tirol 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
3 Itapipoca 8 4 4 0 11:6 16
4 Cariri FC 8 3 3 2 11:6 12
5 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 2 3 3 8:8 9
6 Tiradentes 8 1 4 3 6:9 7
7 Maranguape 8 1 4 3 5:9 7
8 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 2:12 5
9 Pacajus 8 0 5 3 8:11 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2024 (Play Offs)