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Itapipoca vs Quixada

Brazil Brazil

Copa Fares Lopes
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Douglas M.
56' Event
Sousa F.
90' Event
Silva R. L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Itapipoca
20%
Draws
22%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itapipoca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Very High Confidence
  • Quixada haven't matched Itapipoca's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Itapipoca taking it.
  • Itapipoca have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapipoca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 68%
Quixada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca Quixada
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Itapipoca vs Quixada
3:0
Mar 20, 2016 Cearense
Itapipoca vs Quixada
2:2
Mar 13, 2016 Cearense
Quixada vs Itapipoca
2:0
Feb 6, 2014 Cearense
Itapipoca vs Quixada
2:0
Jan 28, 2014 Cearense
Quixada vs Itapipoca
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sousa F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Quixada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca 86 / 100
Quixada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Itapipoca's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Itapipoca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Quixada's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca VS Quixada
1.38 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
50% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca

(Home)
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2
Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0
Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0
Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2
Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0
Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7

Quixada

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza B 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
2 Itapipoca 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Ferroviario 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
5 Atletico Cearense 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara B 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Tirol 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 Maracana 4 3 0 1 4:1 9
4 Vila Real 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 Caucaia 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)