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Itapirense U20 vs Ferroviaria U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Coutinho E.
79' Event
Rafael

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Itapirense U20 and Ferroviaria U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Itapirense U20
20%
Draws
73%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviaria U20 come out ahead of Itapirense U20 on wins alone.
  • Ferroviaria U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Itapirense U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapirense U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Paulista U20
Itapirense U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
0:2
May 2, 2025 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Itapirense U20
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapirense U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapirense U20 10 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapirense U20 Ferroviaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Itapirense U20's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviaria U20 conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Itapirense U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itapirense U20 VS Ferroviaria U20
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapirense U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Ponte Preta U20
1 : 1
Itapirense U20
04 Sept
Itapirense U20
0 : 5
CA Juventus U20
21 Aug
Uniao Suzano U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
14 Aug
Itapirense U20
0 : 1
Santos U20
07 Aug
Mirassol U20
2 : 1
Itapirense U20
Page 1 of 7

Ferroviaria U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)