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Itapirense vs Bandeirante Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Facundini T.
60' Event
Luz da Silva Neto J.
90' Event
Marcelo

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Itapirense and Bandeirante finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bandeirante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Itapirense
15%
Draws
59%
Bandeirante
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bandeirante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bandeirante carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bandeirante's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 17%
Bandeirante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapirense Bandeirante
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Bandeirante
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Itapirense
0:2
Mar 13, 2024 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Bandeirante
1:1
Mar 4, 2023 Paulista A3
Bandeirante vs Itapirense
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Paulista A4
Itapirense vs Bandeirante
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Facundini T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Bandeirante Compare

Top Goalscorer Luz da Silva Neto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapirense 28 / 100
Bandeirante 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapirense Bandeirante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandeirante Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bandeirante has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Itapirense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Itapirense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itapirense VS Bandeirante
0.83 Goals Scored 1.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapirense

(Home)
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
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Bandeirante

(Away)
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
29 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
3 : 0
Bandeirante
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0
Gremio Prudente
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)