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Itapirense vs Francana

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
de Lima J.
82' Event
Marcos V.

AI Match Summary

Itapirense in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Itapirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Itapirense
40%
Draws
29%
Francana
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Francana have won more games recently than Itapirense.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 19%
Francana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapirense Francana
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Francana
2:0
Aug 2, 2025 Copa Paulista
Itapirense vs Francana
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Copa Paulista
Francana vs Itapirense
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Paulista A3
Francana vs Itapirense
1:2
Jul 8, 2018 Paulista A4
Francana vs Itapirense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapirense Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lima J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcos V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Francana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapirense 32 / 100
Francana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapirense Francana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Itapirense scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Francana has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Francana has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itapirense VS Francana
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapirense

(Home)
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
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Francana

(Away)
21 Mar
Marilia
2 : 0
Francana
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Francana
08 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 0
Francana
04 Mar
Francana
1 : 3
Rio Preto EC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)