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Itapirense vs Internacional de Limeira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
dos Santos C. E.
21' Event
Juninho
25' Event
dos Santos C. E.

AI Match Summary

Internacional de Limeira in this Copa Paulista 2025 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Itapirense
35%
Draws
45%
Internacional de Limeira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Internacional de Limeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Internacional de Limeira have won more games recently than Itapirense.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Internacional de Limeira taking it.
  • Internacional de Limeira arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Itapirense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 21%
Internacional de Limeira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapirense Internacional de Limeira
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Internacional de Limeira vs Itapirense
2:3
Jul 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Itapirense vs Internacional de Limeira
2:4
Feb 20, 2016 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Internacional de Limeira
1:0
Mar 19, 2015 Paulista A3
Internacional de Limeira vs Itapirense
2:1
May 12, 2013 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Internacional de Limeira
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapirense Compare

Top Goalscorer de Lima J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alexandre
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Internacional de Limeira Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos C. E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapirense 20 / 100
Internacional de Limeira 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapirense Internacional de Limeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Internacional de Limeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Itapirense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Internacional de Limeira has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Itapirense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Internacional de Limeira
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapirense

(Home)
21 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 1
Rio Preto EC
14 Mar
Uniao Barbarense
1 : 0
Itapirense
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
08 Mar
Itapirense
0 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
04 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2
Itapirense
Page 1 of 6

Internacional de Limeira

(Away)
03 Oct
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 2
Brusque
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)