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Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Alex Oliveira
70' Event
Andre d. S. R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Itapirense and Uniao Sao Joao finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Itapirense
44%
Draws
20%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uniao Sao Joao come out ahead of Itapirense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Itapirense Clean Sheet 16%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapirense Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Copa Paulista
Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 Copa Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Itapirense
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Paulista A3
Uniao Sao Joao vs Itapirense
0:1
Feb 21, 2024 Paulista A3
Itapirense vs Uniao Sao Joao
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapirense 36 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapirense Uniao Sao Joao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itapirense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Uniao Sao Joao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Itapirense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Itapirense VS Uniao Sao Joao
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285