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Itaucu EC vs Itumbiara

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Goiano 2 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2011 game between Itaucu EC and Itumbiara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itaucu EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Itaucu EC
20%
Draws
22%
Itumbiara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itaucu EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itumbiara come out ahead of Itaucu EC on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Itaucu EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Itaucu EC Clean Sheet 19%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itaucu EC Itumbiara
Matches Played 11 35
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 5
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 1.45 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.91 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2011 Goiano 2
Itaucu EC vs Itumbiara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itaucu EC 85 / 100
Itumbiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itaucu EC Itumbiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itaucu EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itaucu EC's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Itumbiara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

Itaucu EC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Itumbiara has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Itumbiara
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Itaucu EC

(Home)
04 Aug
Mineiros
3 : 1
Itaucu EC
27 Jul
Itaucu EC
1 : 0
Itumbiara
24 Jul
Rioverdense
3 : 3
Itaucu EC
16 Jul
Jataiense
0 : 0
Itaucu EC
10 Jul
Itaucu EC
2 : 1
AA Goiatuba
Page 1 of 3

Itumbiara

(Away)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anapolis 11 8 2 1 27:7 26
2 Mineiros 11 7 4 0 19:8 25
3 Rio Verde 11 7 2 2 23:13 23
4 Itumbiara 11 7 1 3 20:14 22
5 Itaucu EC 11 6 3 2 16:10 21
6 Goiania 11 3 6 2 19:18 15
7 Jataiense 11 3 4 4 17:19 13
8 Ipora 11 4 0 7 12:14 12
9 Inhumas 11 3 2 6 23:25 11
10 AA Goiatuba 11 1 4 6 13:21 7
11 Rioverdense 11 1 2 8 19:39 5
12 Agremiacao Esportiva Canedense 11 1 0 10 8:28 3
Promotion - Goiano 2 2011 (Promotion Group)