Sport Picks

Libya

Premier League

Abi Al Ashar

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ittihad Gharyan play Abi Al Ashar in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ittihad Gharyan averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. Abi Al Ashar averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Ittihad Gharyan won 1, Abi Al Ashar won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Ittihad Gharyan and 1.19 for Abi Al Ashar. This points to a Abi Al Ashar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Ittihad Gharyan

30%

Draws

35%

Abi Al Ashar

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Abi Al Ashar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence

Ittihad Gharyan picked up more points recently compared to Abi Al Ashar.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Ittihad Gharyan Clean Sheet 20%

Abi Al Ashar Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ittihad Gharyan	Abi Al Ashar
Matches Played	16	30
Wins	2	6
Draws	4	9
Losses	10	15
Goals Scored	0.63	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.56	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Premier League

Abi Al Ashar vs Ittihad Gharyan

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Jan 22, 2026 Premier League

Ittihad Gharyan vs Abi Al Ashar

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Gharyan 36 / 100

Abi Al Ashar 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ittihad Gharyan Abi Al Ashar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Abi Al Ashar or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ittihad Gharyan attacking → ← attacking Abi Al Ashar

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Gharyan scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Abi Al Ashar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ittihad Gharyan went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Abi Al Ashar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 27

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Ahly Tripoli	18	15	2	1	47:9	47
2	Asswehly	18	13	4	1	35:9	43
3	Al Madina	18	8	4	6	23:22	28
4	Al Watan	18	6	5	7	14:18	23
5	Assabah	18	6	4	8	12:18	22
6	Al Malaab El Libby	18	5	5	8	15:21	20
7	Al-Khmes	18	5	5	8	19:31	20
8	Al Qadisiyah	18	6	2	10	11:24	19
9	Al Dahra	18	3	5	10	20:27	14
10	Abu Salim	18	3	4	11	13:30	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Ittihad	16	13	3	0	35:9	42
2	Olympic Azzaweya	16	9	4	3	25:11	31
3	Al Ittihad Misurata	16	7	6	3	21:11	27
4	Al-Majd	16	6	5	5	14:13	23
5	Al Shomooa	16	6	4	6	24:19	22
6	Shabab Al-Ghar	16	4	6	6	17:27	18
7	Al Tirsana	16	3	7	6	15:23	16
8	Ittihad Gharyan	16	2	4	10	10:25	10
9	Abi Al Ashar	16	1	3	12	9:32	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Military Union	16	10	5	1	26:9	35
2	Al Hilal Benghazi	16	10	4	2	20:11	34
3	Al Ahly Benghazi	16	9	6	1	23:6	33
4	Al Taawun	16	7	5	4	19:14	26
5	Darnes	16	5	5	6	16:16	20
6	Al Sadaqa	16	5	4	7	16:17	19
7	Al-Anwar	16	1	8	7	12:23	11
8	Al Borouq	16	2	4	10	7:21	10
9	Al-Suqoor	16	1	3	12	13:35	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Nasr	14	11	2	1	28:7	35
2	Al Akhdar	14	8	4	2	16:9	28
3	Al-Afreeki	14	7	2	5	29:18	23
4	Al Tahaddi	14	5	6	3	21:14	21
5	Khaleej Sirte	14	5	4	5	25:22	19
6	Wefaq Ajdabiya	14	5	3	6	13:17	18
7	Al Murooj SC	14	4	1	9	16:24	13
8	Al-Andalus	14	0	0	14	1:38	0