Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Azaro W.
Assist: Lithierry
26'
Ghoddos S.
44'
Salmeen A.

AI Match Summary

Ajman in this UAE League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ittihad Kalba
15%
Draws
54%
Ajman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajman have won more games recently than Ittihad Kalba.
  • Ajman are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular UAE League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ittihad Kalba have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 10%
Ajman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Ajman
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba
2:3
Feb 7, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman
1:3
Jan 3, 2026 UAE League
Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba
0:1
May 13, 2025 UAE League
Ajman vs Ittihad Kalba
2:3
Jan 5, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Ajman
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Gassama S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ajman Compare

Top Goalscorer Azaro W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadani S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 18 / 100
Ajman 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Ajman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ittihad Kalba found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Ittihad Kalba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Kalba VS Ajman
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Kalba

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 2
Ittihad Kalba
02 Oct
Al Wasl
4 : 0
Ittihad Kalba
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
Page 1 of 6

Ajman

(Away)
09 Oct
Ajman
1 : 0
Bani Yas
02 Oct
Al Ain
2 : 3
Ajman
19 Sept
Ajman
3 : 2
Al Sharjah
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
06 Sept
Al Nasr
1 : 2
Ajman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)