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Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

UAE League 2025/2026 Ittihad Kalba Club Stadium, Kalba
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Match Events

26' Event
Dabbur M.
Assist: Nader Y.
29' Event
Blazic M.
Assist: Ghoddos S.
45'
Saleh K.

AI Match Summary

The UAE League 2025/2026 game between Ittihad Kalba and Bani Yas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bani Yas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ittihad Kalba
15%
Draws
34%
Bani Yas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ittihad Kalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bani Yas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bani Yas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ittihad Kalba Clean Sheet 13%
Bani Yas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ittihad Kalba Bani Yas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Ittihad Kalba
0:1
May 24, 2025 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Ittihad Kalba
2:2
Jan 22, 2025 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas
0:1
May 25, 2024 UAE League
Ittihad Kalba vs Bani Yas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ittihad Kalba Compare

Top Goalscorer Blazic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bani Yas Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabbur M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djekovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ittihad Kalba 27 / 100
Bani Yas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ittihad Kalba Bani Yas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bani Yas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ittihad Kalba found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Bani Yas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: Bani Yas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ittihad Kalba VS Bani Yas
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ittihad Kalba

(Home)
19 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
2 : 1
Khorfakkan
11 Sept
Ajman
2 : 3
Ittihad Kalba
04 Sept
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 2
Al Ain
28 Aug
United FC
4 : 1
Ittihad Kalba
21 Aug
Ittihad Kalba
0 : 3
Al Wasl
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Bani Yas

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
05 Sept
Bani Yas
0 : 1
Hatta
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
23 Aug
Bani Yas
2 : 3
United FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ain 26 21 5 0 62:18 68
2 Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 26 17 7 2 60:18 58
3 Al Wasl 26 14 6 6 39:29 48
4 Al Jazira 26 13 5 8 46:30 44
5 Al Wahda 26 10 10 6 38:26 40
6 Al Nasr 26 9 11 6 36:34 38
7 Ajman 26 9 5 12 27:34 32
8 Al Sharjah 26 8 5 13 35:47 29
9 Khorfakkan 26 6 9 11 35:45 27
10 Bani Yas 26 7 6 13 29:43 27
11 Ittihad Kalba 26 5 9 12 29:45 24
12 Al Dhafra 26 6 4 16 28:52 22
13 Al Bataeh 26 4 9 13 24:37 21
14 Dibba Al Fujairah 26 5 5 16 25:55 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)