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Ituano vs Figueirense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Novelli Júnior, Itu
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Jean Mangabeira
28'
Emerson Galego
46'
Sub
Breno In: Renan Areias
Out: Breno

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Ituano and Figueirense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ituano
15%
Draws
69%
Figueirense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Ituano haven't matched Figueirense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Figueirense a 69% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ituano Clean Sheet 20%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituano Figueirense
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Serie C
Ituano vs Figueirense
0:0
May 18, 2025 Serie C
Figueirense vs Ituano
2:0
Sep 6, 2021 Serie C
Figueirense vs Ituano
1:2
Jul 5, 2021 Serie C
Ituano vs Figueirense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituano 16 / 100
Figueirense 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituano Figueirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Figueirense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Figueirense conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ituano scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Ituano stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ituano VS Figueirense
0.43 Goals Scored 1.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 63%
14% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituano

(Home)
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0
Ituano
08 Aug
Ituano
2 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
26 Jul
Brusque
1 : 0
Ituano
Page 1 of 6

Figueirense

(Away)
27 Sept
CA Metropolitano
0 : 1
Figueirense
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)