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Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2022
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

3 - 2
FT
Cerrado EC Logo

Cerrado EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 2 2022 game between Itumbiara and Cerrado EC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itumbiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Itumbiara
20%
Draws
58%
Cerrado EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itumbiara come out ahead of Cerrado EC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cerrado EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Goiano 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Itumbiara have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itumbiara Cerrado EC
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.85
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC
3:2
Sep 1, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itumbiara 10 / 100
Cerrado EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itumbiara Cerrado EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Itumbiara scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Cerrado EC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Itumbiara went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itumbiara VS Cerrado EC
1 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itumbiara

(Home)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
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Cerrado EC

(Away)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inhumas 14 8 3 3 17:7 27
2 Goiania 14 8 1 5 14:11 25
3 Anapolina 14 6 6 2 16:10 24
4 Aparecida EC 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
5 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 5 2 7 23:21 17
6 Jaragua 14 4 4 6 10:12 16
7 Itumbiara 14 4 4 6 17:22 16
8 Cerrado EC 14 2 4 8 9:19 10
Promotion - Goiano 2023 (Main)