Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2023 game between Itupiranga and Castanhal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itupiranga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Castanhal carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Itupiranga a 35% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paraense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Itupiranga have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Itupiranga | Castanhal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Itupiranga Compare
Castanhal Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Itupiranga scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Castanhal let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Itupiranga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Itupiranga
(Home)Castanhal
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Caete | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Itupiranga | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 6 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 19 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Cameta | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 12 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castanhal | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:13 | 8 |
| 3 | Marajo | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
