Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ituzaingo vs Argentino de Merlo

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Carlos Sacaan, Ituzaingó
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Gayoso E.
23'
Ursino D.
43' Event
Sica N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Ituzaingo and Argentino de Merlo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentino de Merlo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ituzaingo
11%
Draws
80%
Argentino de Merlo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Argentino de Merlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Argentino de Merlo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Argentino de Merlo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 13%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ituzaingo Argentino de Merlo
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Argentino de Merlo
0:1
Sep 11, 2023 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Ituzaingo
0:0
May 8, 2023 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs Argentino de Merlo
0:0
Dec 18, 2021 Primera C
Ituzaingo vs Argentino de Merlo
3:0
Dec 14, 2021 Primera C
Argentino de Merlo vs Ituzaingo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ituzaingo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Argentino de Merlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sica N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ituzaingo 11 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ituzaingo Argentino de Merlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Argentino de Merlo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ituzaingo scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ituzaingo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ituzaingo VS Argentino de Merlo
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ituzaingo

(Home)
18 Jul
Laferrere
2 : 0
Ituzaingo
14 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
10 Jul
Brown Adrogue
0 : 0
Ituzaingo
04 Jul
Ituzaingo
1 : 3
Villa San Carlos
27 Jun
Deportivo Armenio
2 : 1
Ituzaingo
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Argentino de Merlo

(Away)
18 Jul
Argentino de Merlo
2 : 2
Deportivo Armenio
14 Jul
Flandria
1 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
10 Jul
Argentino de Merlo
3 : 0
Argentino de Quilmes
05 Jul
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1
Argentino de Merlo
28 Jun
Argentino de Merlo
3 : 2
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal Sarandi26148437:1950
2Excursionistas26147537:1749
3Talleres Remedios Escalada26147529:1349
4Villa Dalmine26139430:1448
5Deportivo Camioneros26138531:1747
6Sportivo Italiano26128627:2144
7Comunicaciones26108830:2638
8Laferrere26108829:3038
9Real Pilar26107929:2937
10Deportivo Armenio26107930:3137
11Dep. Merlo2699831:3836
12San Martin Burzaco26811726:2335
13Argentino de Merlo2698926:2435
14Dock Sud26710926:2431
15Argentino de Quilmes26710925:2831
16CSD Liniers26691117:2627
17Flandria26751420:3226
18Defensores Unidos265101120:2925
19UAI Urquiza26315812:2224
20Brown Adrogue26591216:2924
21Villa San Carlos264101224:3322
22Ituzaingo26171818:4510
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)