Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ivancsa vs Balatonlelle

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kelemen K.
85' Event
Szilvasi Z.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2025/2026 game between Ivancsa and Balatonlelle finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ivancsa
15%
Draws
46%
Balatonlelle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balatonlelle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Balatonlelle haven't matched Ivancsa's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ivancsa have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ivancsa Clean Sheet 20%
Balatonlelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivancsa Balatonlelle
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.71 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Balatonlelle vs Ivancsa
1:3
Nov 9, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Ivancsa vs Balatonlelle
1:1
Aug 6, 2022 Hungarian Cup
Balatonlelle vs Ivancsa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivancsa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Balatonlelle Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelemen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivancsa 36 / 100
Balatonlelle 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivancsa Balatonlelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balatonlelle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balatonlelle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Ivancsa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Ivancsa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivancsa VS Balatonlelle
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivancsa

(Home)
30 Aug
Pecsi MFC
7 : 0
Ivancsa
26 Aug
Ivancsa
1 : 3
Dunaharaszti MTK
21 Aug
Erdi
0 : 3
Ivancsa
15 Aug
Paks II
0 : 2
Ivancsa
12 Aug
Budaorsi SC
3 : 1
Ivancsa
Page 1 of 6

Balatonlelle

(Away)
24 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 3
Ivancsa
17 May
PTE-PEAC
1 : 1
Balatonlelle
10 May
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Dombovari
02 May
Erdi
3 : 2
Balatonlelle
26 Apr
Balatonlelle
1 : 0
Paks II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 21 6 3 64:27 69
2 Pecsi MFC 30 20 7 3 71:25 67
3 Kaposvar 30 20 3 7 64:32 63
4 Ferencvaros II 30 17 4 9 63:43 55
5 Majosi 30 17 3 10 78:49 54
6 MTK Budapest II 30 16 4 10 62:33 52
7 Erdi 30 15 7 8 47:39 52
8 Dunaujvaros 30 13 10 7 58:42 49
9 Ivancsa 30 11 6 13 49:44 39
10 Siofok 30 11 5 14 40:55 38
11 Paks II 30 10 2 18 42:62 32
12 Szekszardi 30 9 4 17 43:75 31
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 10 14 39:51 28
14 Balatonlelle 30 6 6 18 24:53 24
15 Penzugyor SE 30 4 8 18 31:61 20
16 Dombovari 30 0 3 27 22:106 3
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs (Main)