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Ivancsa vs Sarbogard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Toth Z.
38' Event
Suszter L.
48' Event
Suszter L.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest game between Ivancsa and Sarbogard finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivancsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ivancsa
15%
Draws
26%
Sarbogard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ivancsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sarbogard haven't matched Ivancsa's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Ivancsa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ivancsa Clean Sheet 12%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivancsa Sarbogard
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NB III - Southwest
Ivancsa vs Sarbogard
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivancsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Suszter L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toth Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sarbogard Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiss P. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivancsa 74 / 100
Sarbogard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivancsa Sarbogard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivancsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarbogard let in goals in 100% of their last 20 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ivancsa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Ivancsa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivancsa VS Sarbogard
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivancsa

(Home)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Erdi
19 Sept
Ferencvaros II
2 : 3
Ivancsa
12 Sept
Ivancsa
0 : 4
Szeged-Csanad GA
05 Sept
Ivancsa
2 : 3
Majosi
Page 1 of 6

Sarbogard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
19 Sept
Erdi
4 : 3
Sarbogard
05 Sept
Sarbogard
2 : 1
Szekszardi
29 Aug
Ferencvaros II
1 : 0
Sarbogard
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 9 5 1 3 23:14 16
3 Budafoki MTE 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 PTE-PEAC 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 Ivancsa 9 5 0 4 21:20 15
6 Ferencvaros II 9 4 3 2 19:13 15
7 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
8 Majosi 9 4 2 3 18:18 14
9 Dunaharaszti MTK 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
10 MTK Budapest II 8 4 0 4 21:14 12
11 Erdi 9 3 3 3 21:21 12
12 Budaorsi SC 9 3 2 4 16:26 11
13 Paks II 10 1 3 6 19:23 6
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 9 0 0 9 4:38 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)