Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iveagh Utd vs Ballymoney

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Ballymoney advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Iveagh Utd
15%
Draws
85%
Ballymoney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballymoney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Iveagh Utd haven't matched Ballymoney's recent run of results.
  • Ballymoney are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ballymoney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymoney, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Iveagh Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iveagh Utd Ballymoney
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 1 9
Draws 0 1
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 1.14 1.37
Goals Conceded 4.29 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2011 Irish Cup
Iveagh Utd vs Ballymoney
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iveagh Utd 10 / 100
Ballymoney 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iveagh Utd Ballymoney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymoney Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ballymoney conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Iveagh Utd found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Away concern: Ballymoney has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iveagh Utd VS Ballymoney
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Iveagh Utd

(Home)
17 Aug
Iveagh Utd
1 : 3
Lurgan Town Boys
18 Aug
Dungiven
5 : 2
Iveagh Utd
23 Sept
Ards Rangers
9 : 0
Iveagh Utd
20 Aug
Glebe
4 : 0
Iveagh Utd
22 Aug
Ballywalter Recreation
4 : 2
Iveagh Utd
Page 1 of 2

Ballymoney

(Away)
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
07 Jan
Newington FC
2 : 1
Ballymoney
28 Sept
Ballymoney
2 : 3
East Belfast
29 Sept
Ballymoney
1 : 5
Strabane Athletic
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4