Sport Picks
Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 
Match Events
5'
5'
Muzashvili T.
61'
61'
Kakara J.
90'
90'
Kakara J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 game between Iveria Khashuri and Merani Tbilisi finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merani Tbilisi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Merani Tbilisi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Merani Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Merani Tbilisi's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Iveria Khashuri Clean Sheet 10%
Merani Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iveria Khashuri | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Liga 3
Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi
0:3
Mar 6, 2005 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri
0:1
Nov 16, 2004 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi
3:2
May 3, 1997 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri
4:1
Sep 28, 1996 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iveria Khashuri Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Merani Tbilisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Muzashvili T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kakara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iveria Khashuri 10 / 100
Merani Tbilisi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iveria Khashuri Merani Tbilisi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Merani Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Iveria Khashuri found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Iveria Khashuri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Iveria Khashuri VS Merani Tbilisi
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Iveria Khashuri
(Home) 17 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2 Didube
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2 Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2 WIT Georgia
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0 Iveria Khashuri
20 Aug
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 5 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2 Didube
03 Sept
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 2 WIT Georgia
20 Aug
Iveria Khashuri
2 : 5 Dinamo Tbilisi 2
06 Aug
Iveria Khashuri
0 : 1 Iberia 1999 2
26 Jul
Iveria Khashuri
1 : 3 Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 4
Merani Tbilisi
(Away) 17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
10 Sept
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 Khobi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
4 : 1 FC Gardabani
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
2 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
20 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 2 Merani Tbilisi
26 Jun
Guria
6 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
14 Jun
WIT Georgia
0 : 1 Merani Tbilisi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 63:11 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54:14 | 49 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34:16 | 41 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:27 | 39 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 38 |
| 7 | Orbi | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 11 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:28 | 28 |
| 12 | Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28:45 | 21 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18:53 | 16 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22:46 | 13 |
| 15 | Betlemi Keda | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13:54 | 13 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18:56 | 11 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
