Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ivinhema play Aguia Negra in the Sul-Matogrossense 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ivinhema averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Aguia Negra averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Ivinhema won 4, Aguia Negra won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Ivinhema and 1.56 for Aguia Negra. This points to a Ivinhema double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ivinhema picked up more points recently compared to Aguia Negra.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ivinhema | Aguia Negra |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ivinhema Compare
Aguia Negra Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ivinhema scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Aguia Negra let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Ivinhema went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Aguia Negra lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics