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Ivinhema vs Aquidauanense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Dodo
29' Event
Gustavo Oliveira
44' Event
Neto P.

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2024 game between Ivinhema and Aquidauanense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivinhema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ivinhema
20%
Draws
60%
Aquidauanense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aquidauanense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Ivinhema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aquidauanense's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 16%
Aquidauanense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Aquidauanense
Matches Played 41 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Aquidauanense
3:2
Feb 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema
2:0
Mar 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Aquidauanense
5:0
Feb 12, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Aquidauanense vs Ivinhema
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ivinhema Compare

Top Goalscorer Dodo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Aquidauanense Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 11 / 100
Aquidauanense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Aquidauanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquidauanense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ivinhema's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aquidauanense conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ivinhema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Aquidauanense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
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Aquidauanense

(Away)
02 Aug
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
Uniao ABC
26 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Aquidauanense
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Aquidauanense
2 : 0
7 de Setembro
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)