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Ivinhema vs Bataguassu

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Ivinhema and Bataguassu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ivinhema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ivinhema
30%
Draws
31%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ivinhema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bataguassu come out ahead of Ivinhema on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 13%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Bataguassu
Matches Played 34 25
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.32 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Bataguassu
4:4
Mar 8, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Ivinhema
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Bataguassu
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 31 / 100
Bataguassu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bataguassu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Ivinhema's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Bataguassu has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Recent resilience: Ivinhema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Bataguassu
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.83
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 7

Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)