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Ivinhema vs Dourados - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Ivinhema and Dourados finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ivinhema
35%
Draws
32%
Dourados
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dourados come out ahead of Ivinhema on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 14%
Dourados Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Dourados
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.16 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Dourados
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Dourados
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Ivinhema
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Dourados
1:2
Mar 4, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Ivinhema
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 31 / 100
Dourados 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Dourados

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Dourados conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Ivinhema stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Dourados
1.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
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Dourados

(Away)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)