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Ivinhema vs Operario AC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sul-Matogrossense 2023
Ivinhema Logo

Ivinhema

1 - 1
FT
Operario AC Logo

Operario AC

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
50' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Ivinhema and Operario AC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ivinhema
30%
Draws
12%
Operario AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ivinhema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ivinhema carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ivinhema's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 17%
Operario AC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Operario AC
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 10 1
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Operario AC
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario AC vs Ivinhema
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 48 / 100
Operario AC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Operario AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivinhema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Operario AC conceded in 96% of 26 recent games.

Ivinhema's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Ivinhema remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 7

Operario AC

(Away)
10 Nov
Operario AC
0 : 1
Naviraiense
03 Nov
Aguia Negra
1 : 0
Operario AC
27 Oct
Comercial MS
4 : 2
Operario AC
19 Oct
Operario AC
0 : 2
7 de Setembro
05 Oct
Naviraiense
1 : 1
Operario AC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica 8 6 1 1 15:6 19
2 Operario MS 8 5 0 3 13:8 15
3 Chapadao 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Coxim 8 2 2 4 4:11 8
5 Comercial MS 8 0 2 6 4:12 2
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 6 1 1 11:5 19
2 Ivinhema 8 3 2 3 14:9 11
3 Novoperario 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
4 Aquidauanense 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Operario AC 8 1 2 5 9:15 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2023 (Play Offs)