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Ivinhema vs Pantanal

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Sul-Matogrossense 2025
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Match Events

83' Event
Flavio Rene
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2025 game between Ivinhema and Pantanal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pantanal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ivinhema
35%
Draws
19%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ivinhema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Pantanal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Ivinhema taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ivinhema Clean Sheet 15%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ivinhema Pantanal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Ivinhema
2:2
Jan 22, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Ivinhema vs Pantanal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ivinhema 39 / 100
Pantanal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ivinhema Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ivinhema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ivinhema found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Pantanal has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ivinhema remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ivinhema VS Pantanal
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ivinhema

(Home)
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0
Ivinhema
06 Jul
Ivinhema
1 : 2
ASA
29 Jun
Democrata GV
1 : 1
Ivinhema
21 Jun
Ivinhema
3 : 1
Democrata GV
14 Jun
CRAC
1 : 1
Ivinhema
Page 1 of 7

Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)